The world of macroeconomic forecasting could probably always use a disruption that enhances accuracy. One such comes from experts at the University of Pennsylvania Wharton School and elsewhere, who ...

In “Outside the Box,” I interrogate ChatGPT to better understand how AI “reasons.” It’s like a conversation with an intelligent friend, sharing ideas and challenging some of the explanations. With ...

[Usama Malik wrote this article before the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Although it does not reflect post-election events, Fair Observer believes the analysis remains insightful and relevant.] The ...

Around the world, we have been witnessing a dangerous shift toward authoritarianism that is jeopardizing even established democracies like the US and the Netherlands. Civic spaces where free speech, ...

The journey into what statistician Erica Thompson calls “Model Land” began innocuously enough. The late 19th and early 20th centuries saw the emergence of statistical methods that promised to bring ...

There is so much that is so wrong emanating these days from US President Donald Trump and his merry band of corrupt oligarchs and sycophants that it is hard to know where to begin. A good starting ...

The current geopolitical changes are less alarming than they tend to be presented. This mirage may partly result from an unusually long period of single-superpower dominance along with the human ...

I am not a Trojan woman, and even less an author from ancient Greece. Yet these women’s tribulations in the aftermath of the defeat of Troy by the Greeks resonate with me today, 2,500 years later.

Today’s security landscape reflects threat convergence — a reality where no catastrophe remains localized and the lines between physical and cyber threats and war and peace blur. The result is a ...

Our friend and collaborator Gary Grappo’s insightful and disturbing account of the geopolitical reality of a region he knows very well turns out to be informative in ways that he may not have intended ...

On June 14, 2022, the Indian government changed over two centuries of tradition in military recruitment policy. According to the new policy, called Agnipath (“path of fire”), the military inducts new ...

The battle to distinguish human writing from AI-generated text is intensifying. And, as models like OpenAI’s GPT-4, Anthropic’s Claude and Google’s Gemini blur the line between machine and human ...